THE IMPACT OF CAPITAL MARKET ON THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA (1985-2011)
ABSTRACT
Many efforts have been made towards
understanding the relationship between capital market and the economic
development of Nigeria. The capital market of every economy is setup for
the attainment of specific objective which includes economic growth and
stability; Data were collected and analyzed using ordinary least square
analysis. These include F-test, to determine the significance of the
entire regression plan, T- test to test for the significance of the
individual variables and the second order test, which include test for
autocorrelation, normality test and heteroscedasticity. The result of
the study shows that the capital market has a positive and significant
impact on the country‟s economic development. On the strength of this
evidence, this work recommends that government should introduce policies
to motivate and encourage the market. If these recommendations are
efficiently implemented, the effectiveness of the Nigerian capital
market will be enhanced.
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
Every economy seeks to appropriate
industrial base to move the economy from a traditional and low level of
production to a more automated and efficient system of mass processing
and the manufacturing of goods and services. For this level of
development to be attained, there must be a sound financial system which
would serve as the back bone of such an economy. If this is pursued,
acquiring industrial capabilities would be easily attained since it is
considered as the economic development. As a result of the importance of
the financial system in developing industrial capabilities every
economy seeks avenues to acquire them one of such avenues is raising
funds through the capital market.
The capital market deals with instrument
or long term securities with maturity period longer than one year such
as bonds, debentures and equity stocks. The capital market in Nigeria
has been a major source of finance to the government; industries etc. to
meet their longer term capital requirements such as financing for fixed
investments on buildings, plants bridges etc. The use of capital market
reduces over reliance on the money market, assist in promoting a
solvent and competitive financial sector as well as fostering a healthy
stock market culture.
The importance of the capital market
cannot be under estimated.it is the fundamental instrument of capital
formation in any countries economy since no instrument takes place in a
vacuum. A well-developed capital market ensures the availability of
capital funds for investment and developing project usually takes a long
gestation period which the funds from the money market cannot sustain.
This implies that the absence of an efficient capital market in an
economy would result in shortage of long term funds and would harm
investment and hence militates against economic development.
An active capital market aids the
mobilization of savings for economic growth and development. encourages
the efficient allocation of resources through changes in wealth
ownership and composition, catalyzes the creation of a healthy private
sector, and facilitates the promotion of rapid capital formation (Iyoha
2004).Nigeria has a growing capital market, which has since its
inception served as a veritable source of long term funds to finance
investment. Some of the reasons for promoting an active capital market
in Nigeria include Mobilization of savings for economic growth and
development.
Encouragement of efficient allocation of resources through in changes wealth ownership and composition.
Creation of a healthy private sector and promotion of rapid capital formation.
The capital market functions through the
stock exchange, a stock exchange is a market, which facilitated buying,
and selling of shares, stocks, bonds, securities and debentures
(Thingon, 2001). The stock exchange is not just a financial institution,
but also the very hub that pivots around which every activities of the
capital market revolve. It is not only crucial, but also central to the
entire capital mobilization processes. „Anao‟ “ND” posits that it is an
economic institution, which sees to the efficient allocation of
available capital funds, to diverse uses in the economy.
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The objectives of the capital market at
any point in time are geared towards attaining an appreciable
development and growth in the economy and providing a channel for
engaging and mobilizing domestic savings for productive investment.
Apart from its fund mobilization function, it performs intermediary role
by making it possible for those who have surplus funds to be able to
loan it out to those in need of it for productive purpose.
In the last two decades, the link
between financial intermediation and economic growth is a subject of
high interest among policy makers and economics around the world, There
have been attempt to empirically asses the role of capital market and
economic development.This have varied in methods and results.
Adjasi and Biekpe(2005) found a
significant positive impact of capital market on economic development in
counties classified as upper middle income economics.in the same
way(Chen et al 2004) elaborated that the nexus between capital returns
that is stock returns and output growth and the rate of stock return
returns is a leading indicator of output growth various studies such as
spears (1991 Levine and zerous,1998, comincioll,1996 and Demirquc-Kunt
1994) have supported the view that capital market promote economic
development with well functional financial sector or banking sector,
capital market can give a big boost to economic development. (Behadur
and nevpone2006) concluded that stock market fluctuation predicted the
future growth of any economy and causality is found in real variables.
There are also alternative views of
roles that capital market play in economic development. Apart from the
view that stock market maybe having no real effect on development, there
are theoretical concepts that shows that capital market development may
actually hurt economic development. For instance, (stiglitz 1985, 1994
bencivera and smith 1991 and Bhide1993) noted that capital market can
argue that due to their liquidity stock market may hurt development and
growth since saving rates may reduce due to externalities.
In capital accumulation diffuse
ownership may also negativity affect corporate governance and invariably
the performance of listed firms, this impending the growth of capital
markets? This suggests that there is neither theoretical nor empirical
consensus on the impact of capital market on economic development.
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
This study is aimed at assessing the
activities of the Nigerian capital market and the impact it has to the
development of the Nigerian economy.
The following questions are therefore raised to guide the study;
1. What is the impact of capital market on the economic development of Nigerian?
2. What is the impact of Nigerian capital market on Nigerian banking system?
1.4 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
The objective of the study is to evaluate the contribution of the Capital Market to the development of the Nigerian economy
The specific objective are
The specific objective are
1. To examine the impact of capital market on the Nigerian economy.
2. To examine the impact of capital market on the Nigerian banking system.
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
According to Nwana 1998 „‟A hypothesis
formulation is aimed at delimiting the direction of searching for
evidence everywhere, anywhere .it is based on the above premise that the
following hypothesis is formulated to guide this work
Hoi: There is no significant impact of capital market on the economic development of the country.
HO2: There is no significant relationship between the Nigerian capital market and banking system.
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
The importance of a developed and liable
capital market in the economic development of Nigerian cannot be our
emphasized. This analysis is important as it would examine to what
extent the capital market has contribution to economic development of
Nigerian.
The result from this study is expected
to be of great importance to individuals, investors, and business. Firms
and the entire economy as a whole.it will also help to enlighten the
members of the public on the meaning of stocks and shares inculcating in
them the savings and investment habit.
However, the government and policy
makers would find this research handy, especially in area of policy
formulation in restricting the Capital market, for an improved
performance of the aimed at boosting investors to patronize the stock
exchange market in other to enhance their effect on the economy. This
study is also expected to identify some problems encountered in the
capital market by participants and suggest possible means of rectifying
them.
1.7 SCOPE AND LIMITATION OF THE STUDY
The focus of the study is limited to the
activities of the Nigerian capital market. And will cover the period
1985- 2011 .this study has no doubt encounter problems in terms of both
internal and external validity. Like any other research study, this too
has some limitations. The problem encountered in the case of embarking
on this research is in two dimensions, finance and time.
Finance is required to enable the
researcher to travel from one place to another to obtain necessary data
for the study and also to produce a readable copy.
Time is also another constraint as the research had to apportion her limited time in ensuring the research becomes successful.
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 THEORETICAL LITERATURE
The concept of capital market in Nigeria
could be traceable to 1946 “when the Tel year Development plan
ordinance was promulgated”. Ever since then, there has been considerable
interest in the development of capital market more than the last twenty
years and evidence of the role of financial markets in economic
development is documented.
The financial system is like a clock
which revolves round the economy.it serves as a barometer to measure
both the strength and performance of any given economy. The condition in
the financial system reveals a lot in terms of economic development of
the economy. The financial system is so indispensable in the economy in
the sense that it creates the platform and machinery for financial
intermediation; that is the process of shifting
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