A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF IBRAHIM BABANGIDA AND SANI ABACHA’S TRANSITION PROGRAMME AND IT IMPLICATIONS ON THE NIGERIA FOURTH REPUBLIC

A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF IBRAHIM BABANGIDA AND SANI ABACHA’S TRANSITION PROGRAMME AND IT IMPLICATIONS ON THE NIGERIA FOURTH REPUBLIC

CHAPTER ONE

1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

Transition as project of democratization looms large of African political horizon. These projects now occupy an important place on the political agenda of many African countries. Every where on the African continent, one party regimes, one man rule, military rule and authoritarian rule generally are under siege increasingly forced either by popular demonstration, intra-elite accommodation, externally induced pressures, or a combination of these and other social forces to pen up to liberate and to make important concession to competitive politics.

Nigeria like most Africa countries is at present infested by coups and counter-coups, it has become a society where military rule has become a volatile political norm (Adejumbi and Momoh (1995) the perennial rule of the military in Nigeria which began with the first coup led by major Chukwuma Ezeogwu in 1966, has not only made the military define the nature of the political economy of Nigeria but has often created the context for enthronement and dethronement of civil regimes (Adejumbi and Momoh, 1995), paradoxically, civilian regimes in Nigeria lack the disciplines and political will to protect civil society from the vulnerability of military rule.

According to Ihonebere (1966) postulated that; the fractionalization of ruling elite and the weakness of civil society and the fragility of the state helps to explain why the military has emerged as the most powerful contender in the struggle for the power in contemporary Nigeria.

It is within this context that one can better understand the contradictions or military rule in Nigeria.

The years of perennial military rule in Nigeria and a tradition of toying around with the political class without political repercussions seems to suggest that there are two political parties in Nigeria, one being self imposed and the other elected.

Therefore, it seems that the political systems obeys two contradictory impulses at one time, authoritarianism and democracy. Either way, the military or the political elite in Nigeria have demonstrated in recent times their inability to respect the democratic ethos of leadership (Amuwo 1995).

1.2  STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

As will become clear from this research work, there has been a recurrent problems with the transition programme of the Babangida and Abacha administration in Nigeria.

The notion of political crafting implies some in determining of the end-point and the end will of the transition programme.

This research work examines the transition programme in Nigeria to civilian governance offered by the various military leaders in Nigeria since 1985. A scrutiny of these programmes implementation reveals a peculiar. Pattern typically, the designed junta leader proposes a military withdrawal time table and soon thereafter connive with civilian and military collaborations to abort the very programme he initiated.

The set up agencies, commission, and electoral bodies are usually a subterfuge aimed at retaining power or at least prevailing the establishment of a genuine democracy. The attainment of a bonafide democracy has remained elusive because of the culture of corruption. Various regimes helped to institute amidst unattended mass poverty; the essentially antidemocratic nature of the military institution has made it ill prepared to usher in democracy in Nigeria.

For 15 years (1984-1999) the Nigeria polity was held spell bound in the clutches of different shades of treacherous military rules. Within this period, there was four military regimes namely, Buhari/Idiagbo (1985-1993), General Ibrahim Babangida regime (1985-1993), General Sani Abacha (1993-1993) and General Abdulsalami Abubakar (1998-1999).

Aside Buhari/Idiagbo regime, other regimes whipped up sentiment and appeared committed to the pursuit of transition to democratic government.

All the resources whether monetary or materials or committed to the transition programmes went down the drain in two, out of three occasions. For instances, while Babangida’s transition resulted in contraception known as interim national government, that of Abacha linged on a grand designed self succession device that was scuttled through his death in 1998. However, in the process, many people paid the supreme price notably chief Alfred Rewane, Chief M.K.O Abioloa Kudirat Abioloa among others.

1.3  OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

1. To analyze the transition programme of Ibrahim Babangida and Sani Abacha’s transition
2. To examine the success and failure of each transition programme of the two military rulers (Ibrahim Babangida and Sani Abacha)
3. To analyze how the failure of this transition programme had great implications to democratic consolidation

1.4  SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

The importance of this research work cannot be over emphasized. The studies are important in the following way:

1. It is also relevant for student of comparative politics in other to be able to trace out the similarities and difference inherent in the two transition programme
2. Awareness on the part Nigeria that the propagation of democracy rest on a true transition programme
3. The study also helps in understanding the current democratic challenges and how it is linked to the past and failed transition programmes of Ibrahim Babagida and Sani Abacha.
4. The study highlight the decent, corruption, self aggrandizement, sit tight leadership and its implication on the current democratic dispensation.
5. Finally, this study is quite important to all Nigerians and students of public administration because, it make us to understand the civil harms, damage in the military particularly in the regimes of Ibrahim Babaindia and Sani Abacha has done to the democratic landscape of this nation.

1.5  RESEARCH QUESTIONS

1. What are the programmes of the transition to democracy of Babangida and Sani Abacha?
2. Are they successful in their various attempts?
3. What are the various implications it has on the current democratic dispensation?

1.6  SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

The scope of the study is centred on the comparative analysis of Ibrahim Babangida and Sani Abacha’s transition programs and its implication on Democratic Dispensations which covers a period between 1999 till date.

This is due to the peculiarity and intriguing nature of their administration and how their transition programme impact the Nigerian people.

1. Nature of the school library and the state owned Stella Obasanjo’s library which were supposed to be a better references place for the researcher.
2. Absence of researchable material: Since the topic of this research is a past military regimes, the researcher was unable to access relevant materials for this research work due to the ill-equipped.
3. Financial constraints: A research of this nature is money demanding since its respondents are on the generality of Nigerian citizens, the researcher has to move from one place to another in search for relevant answers from the people which therefore involve transportation.
4.  Time factor: The duration for this research is relatively too short, as the researcher has to combine both lectures and other academic activities with the project completion which is not an easy task as such contributed to the constraints of this research
5. The inability of the researcher to obtain all the desired and relevant information to the study from the secondary sources of data easily. That is, from library, internet, newspaper and journals among others.

1.7  CONCEPT CLARIFICATIONS

Democracy: Is simply a government through elected representative of the people chosen in a free, fair and transparent election.

Ethnicity: It could be defined as the contextual discrimination by which members of one group discrimination against others on the basis of differentiated system of socio-cultural symbol. This could be referred as the contextual discrimination in which people are denied access to certain opportunities and public goods.

Military regime: This is a self imposed authoritarian regime that is institutionalized in a given country by military personal or the operative of the armed forces (comprising the Army, Air force, Navy and the police force. It derives power and legitimacy through the board of gun.

Power: It is defined as the essence, orbit the heart and the conceptual; nerve of politics: it’s the ability to control, rule or compel obedience.

Politics: This can be defined as the act of influencing manipulating and controlling or it is the quest for power order and justice.

Political stability: For the purpose of this research work, the concept would be defined as democratic system that has low level of actual or potential civil or military unrest or violence and high probability of remaining inconsistent.

Transition: In ordinary parlance, transition implies passage from one stage or subject to another. For the purpose of this study, it would be conceived as the process of transforming, change or movement from a military regime to a civilian regime.

Democratization: This could be concerned as the process of transforming a group or community or state into a democratic entity.

1.8  ORGANIZATION OF THE STUDY

This study is divided into five chapters, chapter one focus on introduction, statement of the problem, significance of the study, research questions, objectives of the study, scope and limitations of the study, conceptual clarifications and organization.

Chapter two dials with the literature review and emphasis will be on the clarification of transition, democracy and civil society.

Chapter three deals with the research methodology and taking brief history of the case study in general, chapter four deals with data presentation and analysis, that is, the impacts and implication on the fourth republic. 

Chapter five is the last chapter and has to do with the summary, recommendations and conclusion etc.